Monday, 14 May 2012

You might have trouble being a Professional Trader if you.....



Being Honest With Yourself

While working on this article, I was having a little fun with my friend/fellow instructor, Debbie, and we came up with this list that we thought would be fun to read.

You might have trouble being a Professional Trader if you.....

1. Have to take out a trailer equity loan to open your trading account.

2. Come into my class and make a statement like, “I just want to trade for the first hour of the day, then go play golf.”

3. Have to use a lifeline to phone a friend, ask the audience or use a 50/50 before you can place a trade.

4. Think ‘Shorting’ means not leaving a tip at the restaurant.

5. Hear that somebody placed a ‘hard stop’ and think they locked up their brakes on their pickup truck causing them to spill their beer.

6. Come into a 5-day class and think that the following week you are going to quit your JOB and lay around the pool trading for a living.

7. Reply to an ad for a trading system that guarantees you will make millions of dollars trading for only $29.95.

8. Have a trading plan that involves going to a pub before or during trading hours,

9. Tap into your neighbor’s cable box to get CNBC on your television but your wire is too short and
you have to move your trailer closer to his.

10. Have the attention span of a gnat on crack and cannot finish reading this sentence without looking out your window going “Oh look, a kitty.”

11. Call tech support because your cup holder does not go in and out of your computer anymore.  Once there, they inform you that cup holder is actually a CD/DVD player.

12. Use up all your Ritalin medicine and you just had it refilled yesterday.


Don Dawson has been trading the futures markets for 20 years.  His perseverance through the ups and downs of trading, openness to experience of others, balanced tolerance for risk and patience to wait for his setups are a few of his strengths as a trader. 

Don obtained his Series 3 license in 1990.   Soon afterward, he registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor with the National Futures Association and formed his company Majestic Futures. He has been a guest speaker on Technical Analysis at Johns Hopkins University and a guest speaker on Business of Trading Radio Show  in Washington, D.C.

He continues to actively trade his personal account on a daily basis when not teaching for Online Trading Academy.  His teaching method has been referred to as “down to earth”.  He understands the students need for a structured environment in the early stages of their trading education.  He uses humor to convey information in an accessible way.


Being Honest With Yourself

Being Honest With Yourself

Training Your Brain to Manage Fear

Mon, Aug 8 2011, 15:02 GMT
Training Your Brain to Manage Fear 
by  Rande Howell  - Traders State of Mind   |   View company's profile


The mindset that you brought into trading is rarely rooted in the psychology that will produce success in trading. If you hesitate in attempting to pull the trigger, or experience a fear and impulse roller coaster ride when you are in a trade attempting to manage it, you have experienced this first-hand. Many people come into trading with a psychology of self that produced success in other domains of their lives. By sheer drive or by patient accumulation of capital over time, people enter trading with preconceived notions of how to produce success. They believe, “My work ethic worked in the past, why not in trading?”

The Journey of Understanding Fear

After a number of years committed to learning how to trade, the vast majority of traders still perform inconsistently and have come nowhere close to managing the fears that manifest in trading. The old ways of managing fear, so useful in their former careers, simply do not work in the uncertainty of trading. Trading with an attitude of “you can conquer the world” is not going to help you win at trading. Developing an attitude of winning in trading is very different from winning in most other endeavors. It’s not external. Instead, you have to conquer yourself, and out of this comes the internal kind of confidence necessary for successful trading. This is a very different kind of confidence. Trading confidence is rooted in being comfortable in managing ambiguity rather than certainty.
The psychology that most new traders bring into trading was built to create certainty and then act accordingly. In trading, the opposite is true. The trader is always in the midst of uncertainty and the ambiguity that springs from never working with a “sure thing”. This powerful bias toward certainty is wired into the very fiber of our biology. Humans evolved with an environmental pressure to survive in a dangerous and threatening world. And our success as a species is in part due to our capacity to spot danger at a distance and avoid it. Humans became wired to seek certainty and avoid uncertainty. And as humans became psychological, we developed beliefs that shaped our perception rooted in avoiding uncertainty and desiring certainty. A mindset focused on trading not-to-lose-money-again is the way this bias shows up in the ambiguity found in trading.
Re-enforced by family and culture, our perception became shaped to avoid uncertainty (threat) or attack the object of danger. This trait of coupling uncertainty with fear is truly exposed in trading. In most of the areas of our lives, the relationship between uncertainty, ambiguity, worry, and fear are not so straightforward and immediate so we do not have to adapt to this world view. This allows us to remain in an illusion of control. Occasionally something does crash into our carefully “certaintized” world (but they are rare if you live in a developed country).
In trading the linkage between uncertainty, ambiguity, worry, and fear is ever present and is inescapable. This is the problem that has to be solved to become a consistent trader. Uncertainty and ambiguity have to be de-coupled from worry and fear. And a trader has to develop a mindset that allows him to work with the ambiguity of uncertainty. It will not be the mindset that you brought into trading. It is a mindset that has to be developed as the old mindset is deconstructed.

Toward a Probability-Based State of Mind

The state of mind that you bring to the rigors of trading is going to determine the probability of your success in trading. The standard, historical mindset that humans have developed over many years is that of fear and avoidance. And most traders, in their mindlessness, bring this historical fear-based mindset into their trading without ever having the skills to observe and change it. As long as this is not changed, fear will build and maintain a belief system that will avoid threat or psychological discomfort. With a fear based mindset, it does not matter that probability (your methodology) is on your side.
Fear will never allow you to move out of reactive avoidance patterns without reconstructing the beliefs that lie behind the fear. This is why, by themselves, affirmations, visualizations, guided meditations, and NLP do not work to create long term change. Belief structures in the brain and the emergent mind are highly resistant to change. Failed diets and failed surface-change solutions clutter a person’s library as a result.
The bottom line is that the beliefs that we bring to trading are rarely the beliefs that can produce success in trading. Until uncertainty has been decoupled from fear and worry, a trader is not going to be able to produce a probability-based mindset that is needed in trading. Add to this the reality that the vast majority of traders lose money and transfer their capital to traders who have been able to build or inherit a disciplined and impartial mindset.
By our nature, we evolve as we adapt our belief system to the challenges of the world or we resist evolving due to our nature to produce certainty. This is what biological systems, whether conscious or not, do in their dance with the world of uncertainty that we are immersed in. We develop "fears" that allow us to avoid the ambiguity of the uncertainty of change. These fears were in response to the threat that uncertainty held for survival.
And at one time in our not-so-distant past, uncertainty and fear were glued together as part of our survival. It is the management of this ambiguity that must be faced head on in trading. The distant past must be brought into the here and now of trading. In un-tethering uncertainty from fear, you open the door to the reorganization of the self in a purposeful direction. In this sense, trading becomes the laboratory of the design of self-fulfilling beliefs about the self and the world that we are part of. When we learn to face our fears from a position of calm assertiveness and can think in terms of probability, trading becomes much easier. We are no longer living in our histories, but are creating our futures.
In mindfully developing a state of mind designed to deal effectively with probability, we become intentional about the mindset that we bring to the uncertainty and ambiguity of trading. There is no threat to biological life at stake – fear and worry are no longer necessary for processing information. With training, a probability mindset delivers the disciplined, impartial, patient, and courageous state of mind needed to engage the uncertainty of not knowing “for sure” and a trader’s methodology truly gives him the edge he needs in the management of risk – not threat. This is a state of mind that the trader builds – he does not find it. It is not “out there”. It exists as a possibility within each trader; but they have to become intentional in developing it.


Saturday, 21 January 2012

诸葛亮字孔明 Zhuge Liang XIII by plaedes

Chapter 58:

Zhuge Liang attends Zhou Yu's wake, mourning, crying, and composing a poem in remembrance for Zhou Yu. Lu Su sees him as a hyprocrite, telling Lu Su that this is a strategist, to save the country, one must have this type of thick skin, it is obvious he caused Zhou Yu's death yet here he is, crying like he lost his parents and in more pain than any of us.

The generals at the front of the wake pulled out their swords on seeing Zhuge Liang, but on his words, sadness and tears, they dropped their swords, (yes, at the same time) giving Zhou Yu credit for the work that he had done for Jiang Dong, the hero he is, how the world had lost a great pillar of support, etc etc.

[Translation... is tiring work, Chinese is a beautiful language that, encompasses the essence of the meaning, and beyond, in the use of 4 words idioms, Zhuge Liang, is a scholar after all, I am not, am tired, so had briefly summarised]

Pang Tong's First Appearance


drunk, and scolding the person who just gave credit to Zhou Yu in the battle for Chi Bi. He said Zhou Yu, although also a hero, is hard to achieve things with his pettiness. Pang Tong claimed credit for trapping Cao Cao to chain his ships together, so that Zhou Yu succeeded in using the fire attack. I don't know why soldiers need to be told when to take drunk men spouting insults at a wake away, but they needed to be told so.

Known to be Feng Chu, Zhuge Liang Wolong, termed Wolong Fengchu, it is said that with one of these men, a ruler can dominate the world with their unearthly insights.



Zhuge Liang sends a man to check the whereabouts of Pang Tong, so does Lu Su, whom have been searching for him for many months, recognizing his extraordinary brilliance. Zhuge Liang goes to an inn to chat up with him as they are old friends, but an ambitious (and drunk) Pang Tong finds Liu Bei's army too small for his capabilities. Lu Su succeeds in bringing him to meet Sun Quan, but Sun Quan's mother finds him a drunk wreck. Apparently, he was testing Sun Quan's magnanimosity by insulting Zhou Yu. He tells Lu Su, when he spreads his wings, it is akin to the winds of the 9 skies 1000 miles away. When Lu Su asks a leaving Pang Tong to stay, his reply was, have you ever seen a bird on a tree for 2 days? not to mention a phoenix, and storms off.

Later Lu Su finds out that that an hour ago, Sun Quan's sister visited her mother with Sun Qian, and concluded it was Zhuge Liang's doing to piss off the 'Empress Dowager'. Pang Tong decides to leave for Jing Zhou with only 1 wen. He tells the boatman should he agree to take this amount of money, someone will give him 100 wen when they arrive. They leave for Jing Zhou.

The story is continued from Liu Bei's perspective under Liu Bei, Chapter 58.

Chapter 66: Pang Tong's Death at Phoenix's Fall Slope



Continuing the story from Liu Bei, Chapter 66,

Prior to his arrival to meet Liu Bei, Zhuge Liang observed the stars of the big dipper inclined to the west and had sent repeated messengers to Liu Bei to recall the army, but Pang Tong, wanting to claim some credit for himself advises Liu Bei otherwise. Zhuge Liang is summoned to reinforce Liu Bei who had decided to go to war with Liu Zhang. Liu Bei plans to attack Xichuan. He advises Liu Bei that Sichuan can be easily guarded against danger, with 绵竹 (Mianzhu county city in Deyang, Sichuan) as a protective screen. He knows that the provincial officer, Li Yan does not have 10,000 men and is no match against Liu Bei's army. I feel that it will be best for Liu Zhang to surrender of his own accord, in this case we will not become enemies with the Xichuan people.

Shortly, Ma Chao attacks 葭萌关. Zhuge Liang knows if they were to lose 葭萌关, they will be attacked from the front and rear and impossible to advance their army into Chengdu. Liu Bei says, only Yi De can stand up to Ma Chao, Zhuge Liang nods his head.

Zhang Fei arrives with Liu Bei outside the city gates and meets up with Ma Dai, easily beating him off his horse in a moment. He spites Ma Dai to bring forth Ma Chao, telling him he wants to enter the city with Liu Bei to drink, which he did. The next day Ma Chao arrives, but falling on deaf ears not to engage the enemy when they had just arrived and morale was high, Zhang Fei ventures forth to duel with Ma Chao. It turned out to be an exciting battle between 2 renowned warriors to the cheers of both armies, Zhuge Liang commented that their fight will leave a story in history in times to come.

Liu Bei expressed his worry to Zhuge Liang that if this were to continue, he was afraid that there would be a party to perish. (What the fuck was he talking about? One is his sworn brother which he talks about righteousness and integrity all the time). Should his worry not be on Zhang Fei's life instead?
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